Crypto Seasonality

Bitcoin Cash Monthly Returns by Year

Every Bitcoin Cash (BCH) cell below is computed from daily price data: monthly return = this month-end close ÷ previous month-end close − 1; YTD = year-end ÷ prior year-end − 1. The % Positive row shows how often each month finished green across all available years.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) Monthly Returns by Year

Jan 1, 2018Aug 10, 2026 · 9 yrs · Coinbase daily candles

Historically strongest: April (+22.2% avg, green in 5 of 9 years). Weakest: August (-10.5% avg, green in 2 of 9 years).

YearYTDJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecStartEnd
2026-64.1%-15.3%-9.7%+1.8%-5.4%-31.4%-34.0%+5.2%+2.4%$599$215
2025+38.2%-2.1%-25.6%-3.9%+20.6%+13.5%+21.8%+11.0%-3.1%+3.1%-4.6%+1.1%+10.7%$433$599
2024+67.0%-9.8%+27.3%+128%-36.1%+4.7%-13.4%+5.2%-22.1%+4.6%+6.3%+47.0%-17.8%$260$433
2023+168%+37.3%-0.9%-6.0%-5.1%-3.7%+169%-18.5%-16.3%+12.7%+4.7%-9.6%+17.2%$97$260
2022-77.4%-33.7%+18.9%+13.2%-27.7%-26.4%-49.5%+34.9%-17.4%+4.3%-4.2%-1.4%-14.5%$430$97
2021+25.7%+16.9%+15.3%+17.3%+84.2%-29.5%-25.0%+3.6%+16.6%-21.0%+18.7%-4.4%-24.6%$342$430
2020+68.0%+83.9%-18.3%-28.4%+14.2%-4.6%-6.9%+35.7%-9.2%-16.7%+15.1%+21.1%+7.8%$204$342
2019+37.9%-23.5%+14.6%+30.3%+57.3%+67.2%-9.9%-17.7%-15.0%-18.5%+24.4%-23.0%-6.6%$148$204
2018-18.8%-42.9%+97.7%-26.3%-24.8%+3.8%-30.1%-2.4%-20.2%-59.7%-13.4%$148
Average+32.9%+6.7%+0.3%+12.1%+22.2%-4.1%+3.0%+7.0%-10.5%-4.2%+5.0%-3.6%-5.1%
Median+38.0%-6.0%-0.9%+1.8%+14.2%-4.6%-13.4%+5.2%-15.0%+0.4%+5.5%-2.9%-10.0%
% Positive38%44%56%56%33%22%78%22%50%63%38%38%

Heads up: this is only 9 years of data — a small sample. Monthly seasonality is a weak, easily-overfit signal that can flip with a single big year. Treat it as context, not a trade.

✓ Every year reconciles — the twelve monthly returns compound to the displayed YTD.