Crypto Seasonality

Stellar Monthly Returns by Year

Every Stellar (XLM) cell below is computed from daily price data: monthly return = this month-end close ÷ previous month-end close − 1; YTD = year-end ÷ prior year-end − 1. The % Positive row shows how often each month finished green across all available years.

Stellar (XLM-USD) Monthly Returns by Year

Mar 14, 2019Aug 10, 2026 · 8 yrs · Coinbase daily candles

Historically strongest: November (+81.1% avg, green in 2 of 7 years). Weakest: December (-21.0% avg, green in 1 of 7 years).

YearYTDJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecStartEnd
2026-18.6%-9.9%-12.1%+5.0%-5.2%+64.0%-27.3%-8.9%-5.1%$0.2007$0.1633
2025-39.5%+24.7%-30.8%-7.8%+2.7%-2.5%-9.9%+68.4%-12.0%+3.3%-16.3%-18.6%-19.1%$0.332$0.2007
2024+157%-14.8%+11.2%+15.5%-23.7%-1.4%-14.2%+10.3%-7.9%+6.4%-6.2%+469%-36.8%$0.129$0.332
2023+81.7%+27.7%-3.9%+28.9%-15.9%-2.0%+19.6%+35.6%-23.5%-2.3%+8.0%-2.4%+9.1%$0.071$0.129
2022-73.4%-25.1%-1.0%+15.6%-26.0%-10.9%-25.4%+4.7%-11.3%+9.9%-3.0%-19.2%-20.9%$0.2665$0.071
2021+109%+141%+32.3%-0.2%+30.8%-24.1%-29.3%+0.1%+19.2%-17.8%+33.9%-9.9%-20.7%$0.1277$0.2665
2020+185%+34.9%-5.9%-28.2%+65.4%+4.4%-5.2%+44.9%-0.3%-22.7%+4.0%+161%-37.1%$0.0448$0.1277
2019-8.0%+33.9%-22.0%-19.3%-26.0%-0.0%+4.8%-12.0%-21.7%$0.0448
Average+57.3%+25.4%-1.5%+4.1%+2.5%+7.7%-14.2%+17.0%-8.4%-3.3%+3.6%+81.1%-21.0%
Median+81.7%+24.7%-3.9%+5.0%-6.6%-1.7%-18.1%+7.5%-9.6%-0.0%+4.0%-9.9%-20.9%
% Positive57%29%57%38%38%13%75%13%43%57%29%14%

Heads up: this is only 8 years of data — a small sample. Monthly seasonality is a weak, easily-overfit signal that can flip with a single big year. Treat it as context, not a trade.

✓ Every year reconciles — the twelve monthly returns compound to the displayed YTD.