Crypto Seasonality

Stellar Monthly Returns by Year

Every Stellar (XLM) cell below is computed from daily price data: monthly return = this month-end close ÷ previous month-end close − 1; YTD = year-end ÷ prior year-end − 1. The % Positive row shows how often each month finished green across all available years.

Stellar (XLM-USD) Monthly Returns by Year

Jan 1, 2019 – Nov 8, 2026 · 8 yrs · Massive daily bars + Coinbase/Yahoo/inception history (UTC closes)

Historically strongest: November (+69.5% avg, green in 2 of 8 years). Weakest: December (-21.3% avg, green in 1 of 7 years).

YearYTDJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ Nov▼ DecStartEnd
2026-27.0%-9.8%-12.1%+5.2%-5.3%+64.0%-27.3%-8.9%+3.0%+27.6%-25.1%-13.7%—$0.2005$0.1463
2025-39.6%+24.7%-30.8%-7.8%+2.7%-2.5%-9.9%+68.4%-12.0%+3.2%-16.3%-18.6%-19.2%$0.332$0.2005
2024+157%-14.8%+11.0%+15.7%-23.7%-1.3%-14.4%+10.5%-8.0%+6.4%-6.2%+468%-36.8%$0.129$0.332
2023+81.3%+27.5%-4.1%+28.8%-15.6%-2.2%+19.6%+35.8%-23.5%-2.3%+8.0%-2.4%+9.0%$0.0711$0.129
2022-73.4%-25.3%-1.5%+15.9%-25.8%-11.3%-25.5%+5.2%-11.5%+9.7%-2.6%-19.4%-20.8%$0.2674$0.0711
2021+108%+138%+33.0%+1.0%+28.9%-23.8%-29.9%+1.0%+19.3%-18.2%+33.7%-9.8%-20.5%$0.1284$0.2674
2020+184%+36.1%-6.7%-28.9%+65.7%+4.3%-5.0%+44.5%+0.4%-23.1%+3.8%+160%-36.5%$0.0452$0.1284
2019——+3.5%+25.9%-7.2%+33.7%-21.9%-19.6%-25.0%-2.4%+6.1%-8.5%-24.2%—$0.0452
Average+55.8%+25.2%-1.0%+7.0%+2.5%+7.6%-14.3%+17.1%-7.2%+0.1%+0.2%+69.5%-21.3%
Median+81.3%+24.7%-2.8%+10.5%-6.2%-1.7%-18.1%+7.9%-9.8%+0.5%+0.6%-9.2%-20.8%
% Positive57%38%75%38%38%13%75%38%50%50%25%14%

Heads up: this is only 8 years of data — a small sample. Monthly seasonality is a weak, easily-overfit signal that can flip with a single big year. Treat it as context, not a trade.

✓ Every year reconciles — the twelve monthly returns compound to the displayed YTD.